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Friday, 4 September 2026

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Indonesia Rupiah: Fiscal discipline supports stability – UOB

UOB economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja reviews Indonesia’s 2027 State Budget, highlighting a calibrated balance between growth and fiscal discipline that matters for the Rupiah and local bonds. The budget assumes a Rupiah exc…

Chinese Yuan: Gradual appreciation view – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that July data point to weaker Chinese growth and a widening divergence between the "new" and "traditional" economy. Despite short-term production disruptions from Middle East…

European gas: LNG inflows key for prices – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke argues that European gas storage will depend on higher LNG imports over winter, as current inflows of 8 bcm per month would see storages trend toward 0% by March. He considers 10 bcm realisti…

Brent: War-linked range trading outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes Brent crude has rallied above $91 as the US–Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff persists. Haddad argues crude Oil is driving the war narrative and expects price swings to st…

Euro: Range-bound before FOMC against US Dollar – ING

Chris Turner at ING describes EUR/USD as contained after a rally stalled just above 1.16, with investors cautious due to high natural gas prices and upcoming FOMC minutes. He expects a 1.1520–1.1580 range near term, whi…

FX Outlook: Energy and Long Bonds Remain Points of Attention

At its meeting on 19 March 2026, the Governing Council decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. It is determined to ensure that inflation stabilises at the 2% target in the medium term. The war in the…

Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar firms on energy, yields

The British Pound weakened against the US Dollar in Asian trading on Wednesday, with GBP/USD easing toward 1.3355. The pair lost momentum as the Dollar gained ground amid renewed geopolitical uncertainty following US mi…

Euro declines below 1.1600 on US-Iran war worries

The EUR/USD pair loses traction to around 1.1575, snapping the three-day winning streak during the early European session on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) edges lower against the US Dollar (USD) as traders remain cautious abo…

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls reclaim 50-day SMA, eye 217.00

The GBP/JPY cross-pair is poised to finish Monday’s session with gains of over 0.14% as traders prepare for the beginning of Tuesday’s Asian session. The cross-pair has climbed above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SM…

British Pound Sterling did not earn its three-month high

GBP/USD cleared 1.3550 on Monday for the first time in three months, printed the highest level of the window just above it and handed the entire advance back within hours for a net gain under 10 pips. Sterling did none …

The Japanese Yen is losing to its own import bill

USD/JPY sat near 159.50 through Monday inside a 75-pip range for a net gain of 10 pips, on the day the Dollar Index broke beneath its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to its weakest level since June. Every other…