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Friday, 4 September 2026

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USD/KRW: The Won Also Rises

FX markets remain calm despite energy prices nudging higher and some weakness in semiconductor stocks. Expect further consolidation ahead of tonight's release of the July FOMC meeting minutes. Elsewhere, this quarter's …

US Dollar Is Losing Its Front-End Rate Cushion Today

The global bond market is facing a systemic stress test that extends well beyond the Federal Reserve. The triple forces of stubborn inflation, government fiscal expansion, and the artificial intelligence (AI) investment…

Japanese Yen gains ground as BoJ rate hike bets rise

The USD/JPY pair edges lower to around 159.45 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) as market expectations grow for another interest rate hike by the…

USD/JPY Recovery Shows Intervention Cannot Close the Rate Gap

Yen is under broad-based pressure again, barely 10 days after joint US-Japan intervention forced traders to retreat. That does not mean intervention has failed. It means intervention solved only one part of the problem.…

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Flag support rebound keeps bulls alive

The USD/CHF pair recovers some ground on Tuesday after testing the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 0.7866 along with the bottom trendline of the ‘bearish flag’, which so far contained price action amid the lack of…

Indonesia Rupiah: Fiscal discipline supports stability – UOB

UOB economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja reviews Indonesia’s 2027 State Budget, highlighting a calibrated balance between growth and fiscal discipline that matters for the Rupiah and local bonds. The budget assumes a Rupiah exc…

Chinese Yuan: Gradual appreciation view – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that July data point to weaker Chinese growth and a widening divergence between the "new" and "traditional" economy. Despite short-term production disruptions from Middle East…

European gas: LNG inflows key for prices – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke argues that European gas storage will depend on higher LNG imports over winter, as current inflows of 8 bcm per month would see storages trend toward 0% by March. He considers 10 bcm realisti…

Brent: War-linked range trading outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes Brent crude has rallied above $91 as the US–Iran Strait of Hormuz standoff persists. Haddad argues crude Oil is driving the war narrative and expects price swings to st…

Euro: Range-bound before FOMC against US Dollar – ING

Chris Turner at ING describes EUR/USD as contained after a rally stalled just above 1.16, with investors cautious due to high natural gas prices and upcoming FOMC minutes. He expects a 1.1520–1.1580 range near term, whi…