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Monday, 20 July 2026

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By Howard Schneider and Ann Saphir WASHINGTON, July 10 (Reuters) – U.S. inflation “stepped up further this spring” as the evolving impact of tariffs, energy costs driven higher by conflict in the Middle East, and the bo…

Canada: Stable card trends support cautious optimism – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts Abbey Xu and Rachel Battaglia report that June spending by RBC Canadian cardholders remained relatively stable, with core retail sales up modestly. Discretionary goods led gains, whil…

Canadian Dollar: Labour data seen softening – TD Securities

TD Macro Research expects the Canadian labour market to soften in June, with employment unchanged versus market expectations for a 10k gain after May’s 87.8k surge. They see the unemployment rate steady at 6.6% and wage…

Canada Unemployment Rate forecast to remain unchanged in June

Markets are anticipating a fairly stable report when Statistics Canada releases its Labour Force Survey on Friday. While the Net Change in Employment is predicted to rise by 10K in June, adding to the 87.8K gain in May,…

US Dollar: Geopolitics faded as markets eye rates – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the US Dollar (USD) has been broadly unchanged despite renewed Middle East tensions, as Oil has retraced and risk sentiment improved. He highlights that fading geopolitical risk keeps focus …

Canadian Dollar: Firmer against US Dollar – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists highlight that USD/CAD is tactically expensive versus the 2-year spread and has recently met resistance near 1.4250 before retracing toward 1.4130. They view this area as potential support b…

Indian Rupee: Inflation uptick with monsoon support – DBS

DBS economist Radhika Rao expects India’s June CPI inflation to edge up to 4.1% YoY from 3.9%, driven by food normalisation and fuel-cost pass-through. She sees limited upside risks to core inflation, an improving but u…

Canadian Dollar: Jobs and BoC caution shape outlook – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that Canada’s June jobs report is expected to show a sharp slowdown in hiring and a pickup in wage growth. He argues the bar for a hawkish shift by the Bank of Canada (BoC) remains high…

Japanese Yen: Policy shift talk supports JPY – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the Japanese Yen is leading G10 gains after Finance Minister Katayama unexpectedly urged households and the GPIF to increase investments in Japanese financial assets. He stresses these policy…