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Sunday, 18 October 2026

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Rates Outlook: Don’t Expect a Break Back Below 5%

Millions of Americans will move forward with home purchases this year, despite mortgage rates that won’t budge from their perch above 6% and home prices that continue to break records. Some of these buyers are banking o…

Think Rates Are Peaking? Consider Mortgage-Backed Securities

The size and persistence of inflation post-COVID-19 was among the largest problems the U.S. economy has faced in decades. The rise in house prices was a major contributor to this inflationary episode. Understanding this…

Rates Outlook: Volatility Is No Friend of Spreads

📘 Why Manual Forex Trading Is Officially Dead — And AI Will Bury It in 2026 ________________________________________ 1. 🚨 Executive Summary Manual FX trading is not merely declining—it is entering its terminal phase. As…

Rising Real Yields Point to a 6% 10-Year Treasury Rate

The Relationship Every Gold Trader Should Understand Why Falling Real Yields Continue to Be One of Gold's Most Powerful Bullish Catalysts "Gold does not compete with stocks. Gold does not compete with bonds. Gold compet…

Rates Outlook: Bifurcated Risk Sentiment

(Kitco News) – Gold prices saw another choppy week, as renewed Middle East uncertainty and bargain-hunting failed to offset pressure from elevated Treasury yields, a resilient U.S. dollar, and fresh evidence that the Fe…

Repricing the ECB Path

It is a privilege to be here in Tallinn to deliver this lecture in memory of Professor Ragnar Nurkse. Widely regarded as one of the intellectual fathers of the post-war Bretton Woods system, his work showed how external…

What Do Parabolic Treasury Yields Tell Us?

Precious metals investors are watching market conditions closely as gold and silver hover at pivotal price points. While both metals have already posted impressive gains, multiple converging factors suggest we may be wi…

Rates Spark: Widening Fiscal Woes

SEOUL – A surge in long-term US Treasury yields is driving up borrowing costs in Korea, lifting government bond yields and adding pressure on companies, households and stocks.

Rates Fall Sharply Ahead of the September Jobs Report

TOKYO - Tokyo stocks fell on October 2, with the Nikkei 225 closing at 68,309, down 647 points, as investors took profits after the previous day’s sharp rally and turned cautious ahead of U.S. employment data, rising gl…

Gilts Too Distracted for Good News

Prime Minister Burnham presented UK government plans that should help ease gilt investors' concerns about political risks. For now, US rates and energy costs continue in the driver's seat, offering little relief for gil…

Real Yield Rise Is Not That Mysterious

Nasa is releasing a steady stream of stunning pictures of the Moon and Earth taken by the astronauts on its Artemis II Moon mission.