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Wednesday, 28 October 2026

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FX Outlook: High-Stakes Payrolls

Kevin Warsh’s ambiguity at the July FOMC means data releases like today’s payrolls carry greater risks of an outsized market reaction. Our call (70k) is close to consensus (80k), with only a tick higher in unemployment …

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls retake 200-day SMA amid recovery

The USD/JPY advances by some 0.41%, clearing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 158.06, as the Greenback recovers some ground following two days of intervention in the FX markets by US and Japanese authorities.

British Pound: Sentiment offsets softer spreads – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s team notes the Pound is fractionally weaker versus the Dollar, with fundamentals less supportive as yield spreads soften. However, sentiment is improving as markets fade earlier political concerns following…

New Zealand Dollar drops amid a firmer US Dollar

NZD/USD trades lower near the 0.5900 level at the time of writing, with no New Zealand catalyst behind the move. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is up 0.26% near the 100.00 level, and the Kiwi is simply on the wrong side of i…

Serco shares rise after profit increase and buyback boost

Defence sector spending as a percentage of GDP has risen steadily in key economies over the past decade, with governments allocating larger budgets toward modernising military capabilities and acquiring advanced weapons…

US Dollar: Wait-and-see mood before payrolls – ING

ING’s FX Strategist Francesco Pesole notes improved Gulf-related risk sentiment has weighed slightly on the Dollar, but stable Federal Reserve rate expectations remain supportive. With US payrolls due tomorrow, he argue…