Saturday, 18 July 2026
Global markets, trading & world business — for professional traders
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that ongoing Middle East conflict, stronger United States (US) data and crude Oil risks are limiting US Dollar (USD) selling. Better manufacturing and retail figures have not shifted Fed expe…
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said in a LinkedIn post on Friday that inflation pressure remains broad-based, with businesses calling for policy action and consumers expressing a growing …
NZD/USD declines on Friday, trading around 0.5830 at the time of writing, down 0.19% on the day, as investors seek safe-haven assets following a fresh wave of US strikes against Iran. The US Dollar (USD) benefits from t…
The Japanese Yen (JPY) ticks lower for the second consecutive day against the US Dollar (USD), reaching the 162.50 area on Friday, drawing closer to the 40-year low, at 162.84 hit earlier this month. A somewhat stronger…
Luxury stocks tanked early Wednesday after Gucci-owner Kering and Hermes reported first-quarter earnings that disappointed investors amid a conflict in the Middle East that is hitting luxury sales.
Societe Generale’s Anatoli Anenkov expects no policy change at next week’s European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with the central bank reiterating its data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach. Recent Euro Area data, i…
TD Securities’ Macro Research team, led by Howard Du with contributions from Jayati Bharadwaj and Linda Cheng, argues that the recent Pound strength versus the Euro has overshot fundamentals. They highlight that EUR/GBP…
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes EUR/USD is struggling for clear direction as the Iran conflict, Oil prices, and diverging inflation dynamics cloud the outlook. He highlights a strong link between Oil and ECB rate expec…
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens marginally higher against the US Dollar (USD) while entering the weekend. The USD/INR pair ticks down to near 96.30 as the Indian currency rises, following Reserve Bank of India’s interventi…
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – extends its sideways consolidative price moves for the fourth straight day and trades around the $79.00 mark through the first half of the European sess…
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains near cyclical lows, but Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) and Japan Trusts flows already show a shift back toward JGBs. He argues that formali…
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Christopher Wong note GBP/USD has corrected sharply from recent highs near 1.3556 but now looks set to consolidate between 1.3450 and 1.3520 intraday. The 1–3 we…
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich expects the European Central Bank to leave policy rates unchanged at the July meeting, describing it as a pause rather than a shift in stance. Lower-than-expected June inflation and volatile Midd…
OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by its yield advantage and safe-haven status, with FX moves still fitting the USD smile framework. They expec…
TD Securities strategists see asymmetric downside risks for the British Pound (GBP) against the Euro (EUR). They argue that EUR/GBP appears notably undervalued relative to rate differentials, data surprises and equity p…
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades marginally lower against the US Dollar (USD) at around 0.6990 during the European trading session on Friday. The Aussie pair edges down as the US Dollar ticks higher amid fears that th…
The NZD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.5840 during the early European session on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) as escalating tensions in the Middle East trigger risk-off sent…
Despite TSMC (2330.TW) delivering a stellar report card at its earnings call after the market close on July 16—highlighted by a 77% surge in net profit for the previous quarter and an upward revision of its full-year ca…
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid describes a broad slump in global equities driven by renewed doubts over the AI trade. The S&P 500 fell 0.51% with futures down further, while the Nikkei, CSI 300 and Hang Seng posted …
EUR/JPY extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 185.70 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross is holding above both the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs…
Silver price (XAG/USD) remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $55.50 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday. Silver is on track to drop over 7% this week as escalating Middle East tensio…
USD/CNH gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 6.7760 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) receives support from escalating developments surrounding conflicts…
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers during the Asian session on Friday, reversing a part of the previous day's losses back closer to the monthly low. Any meaningful recovery, however, seems elusive amid a bearish fundam…
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen oscillating in a narrow range just above the 100.50 level as traders await US President Donald Trump's speech. In the meantim…